Data-Driven
Player Props
Statistical models trained on millions of pitches. Seven markets. One goal: find edges the books miss.
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Win Rate
across -- bets
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ROI (Flat)
$100 per bet
7
Markets
pitcher + batter props
7 / 7
All Profitable
2025 backtest
2025 Backtest Results
How It Works
A transparent, data-driven approach to MLB player props.
1
Scout the Arm
Every pitch from every game. Velocity, movement, outcomes — the full scouting report.
2
Set the Lineup
GLM + XGBoost ensemble projects expected stat lines for every starter and batter.
3
Read the Count
Analytical CDF computes true probability against the posted line. We wait for our pitch.
4
Shop the Line
Every pick compares odds across 10+ sportsbooks. Best price, every time.
Seven Markets, All Profitable
5 pitcher props + 2 batter props across out-of-sample backtests.
Strikeouts 59.4%
Earned Runs 55.8%
Outs 55.1%
Hits Allowed 53.2%
Walks 54.1%
Batter Hits 53.8%
Total Bases 53.4%
Ready to See Today's Picks?
Updated daily during the MLB season with the best-priced edges.